Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 5:15 PM, 377 voters in 43 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 272,250 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 245,080 - 304,854). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 5:15 PM 4007 c(2.5% = 3694) c(97.5% = 4478)
02 5:15 PM 6069 c(2.5% = 5656) c(97.5% = 7041)
03 5:15 PM 3522 c(2.5% = 3072) c(97.5% = 3967)
04 5:15 PM 3496 c(2.5% = 3072) c(97.5% = 3926)
05 5:15 PM 8930 c(2.5% = 8229) c(97.5% = 10178)
06 5:15 PM 2334 c(2.5% = 2078) c(97.5% = 2619)
07 5:15 PM 2355 c(2.5% = 1681) c(97.5% = 2863)
08 5:15 PM 8266 c(2.5% = 7669) c(97.5% = 9191)
09 5:15 PM 3884 c(2.5% = 3544) c(97.5% = 4583)
10 5:15 PM 5030 c(2.5% = 4330) c(97.5% = 5835)
11 5:15 PM 2232 c(2.5% = 1941) c(97.5% = 2525)
12 5:15 PM 3804 c(2.5% = 3357) c(97.5% = 4257)
13 5:15 PM 3442 c(2.5% = 3021) c(97.5% = 3871)
14 5:15 PM 1495 c(2.5% = 1346) c(97.5% = 1681)
15 5:15 PM 4238 c(2.5% = 3861) c(97.5% = 4854)
16 5:15 PM 1876 c(2.5% = 1602) c(97.5% = 2122)
17 5:15 PM 4239 c(2.5% = 3766) c(97.5% = 4774)
18 5:15 PM 3907 c(2.5% = 3561) c(97.5% = 4418)
19 5:15 PM 1876 c(2.5% = 1485) c(97.5% = 2125)
20 5:15 PM 1709 c(2.5% = 1463) c(97.5% = 2041)
21 5:15 PM 9838 c(2.5% = 9020) c(97.5% = 11268)
22 5:15 PM 5328 c(2.5% = 4707) c(97.5% = 6367)
23 5:15 PM 3266 c(2.5% = 2866) c(97.5% = 3698)
24 5:15 PM 2647 c(2.5% = 2362) c(97.5% = 3114)
25 5:15 PM 2679 c(2.5% = 2278) c(97.5% = 3195)
26 5:15 PM 3830 c(2.5% = 3450) c(97.5% = 4293)
27 5:15 PM 4479 c(2.5% = 3600) c(97.5% = 6423)
28 5:15 PM 1996 c(2.5% = 1707) c(97.5% = 2264)
29 5:15 PM 1974 c(2.5% = 1786) c(97.5% = 2199)
30 5:15 PM 3753 c(2.5% = 3480) c(97.5% = 4319)
31 5:15 PM 3337 c(2.5% = 2895) c(97.5% = 3727)
32 5:15 PM 3283 c(2.5% = 2830) c(97.5% = 3667)
33 5:15 PM 2753 c(2.5% = 2041) c(97.5% = 3396)
34 5:15 PM 7175 c(2.5% = 6471) c(97.5% = 7991)
35 5:15 PM 4906 c(2.5% = 4297) c(97.5% = 5648)
36 5:15 PM 5967 c(2.5% = 5339) c(97.5% = 6651)
37 5:15 PM 2197 c(2.5% = 1867) c(97.5% = 2472)
38 5:15 PM 3599 c(2.5% = 3289) c(97.5% = 4026)
39 5:15 PM 7528 c(2.5% = 6883) c(97.5% = 8259)
40 5:15 PM 7483 c(2.5% = 6510) c(97.5% = 8306)
41 5:15 PM 3062 c(2.5% = 2593) c(97.5% = 3555)
42 5:15 PM 3826 c(2.5% = 3177) c(97.5% = 4436)
43 5:15 PM 2968 c(2.5% = 2432) c(97.5% = 3437)
44 5:15 PM 2351 c(2.5% = 2067) c(97.5% = 2638)
45 5:15 PM 3379 c(2.5% = 2917) c(97.5% = 3973)
46 5:15 PM 4116 c(2.5% = 3826) c(97.5% = 4883)
47 5:15 PM 1433 c(2.5% = 1267) c(97.5% = 1588)
48 5:15 PM 3316 c(2.5% = 2914) c(97.5% = 3732)
49 5:15 PM 4237 c(2.5% = 3772) c(97.5% = 4709)
50 5:15 PM 5880 c(2.5% = 5098) c(97.5% = 7231)
51 5:15 PM 3773 c(2.5% = 3345) c(97.5% = 4232)
52 5:15 PM 4680 c(2.5% = 4121) c(97.5% = 5477)
53 5:15 PM 3360 c(2.5% = 2879) c(97.5% = 3885)
54 5:15 PM 2449 c(2.5% = 1920) c(97.5% = 2971)
55 5:15 PM 4014 c(2.5% = 3340) c(97.5% = 4578)
56 5:15 PM 5792 c(2.5% = 5012) c(97.5% = 6571)
57 5:15 PM 4939 c(2.5% = 4285) c(97.5% = 5638)
58 5:15 PM 8390 c(2.5% = 7442) c(97.5% = 9564)
59 5:15 PM 4077 c(2.5% = 3622) c(97.5% = 4547)
60 5:15 PM 3309 c(2.5% = 2941) c(97.5% = 3656)
61 5:15 PM 4910 c(2.5% = 4183) c(97.5% = 5525)
62 5:15 PM 3658 c(2.5% = 3056) c(97.5% = 4306)
63 5:15 PM 4681 c(2.5% = 4226) c(97.5% = 5217)
64 5:15 PM 2693 c(2.5% = 2319) c(97.5% = 3073)
65 5:15 PM 4069 c(2.5% = 3488) c(97.5% = 4524)
66 5:15 PM 8158 c(2.5% = 7320) c(97.5% = 9242)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6
2:47 PM 2133 268
8:02 AM 0815 48
11:45 AM 1817 193
12:35 PM 3634 92
7:40 AM 3602 16
2:59 PM 0532 215
2:59 PM 0517 210
9:30 AM 1508 100
2:00 PM 0813 128
3:10 PM 0537 135
3:10 PM 0501 140
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:00 PM 2314 177
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:50 PM 4617 154
10:00 AM 0537 50
3:20 PM 6008 102
10:10 AM 4623 72
3:20 PM 6012 143
8:00 AM 3636 75
3:21 PM 6023 141
8:15 AM 6324 27
3:22 PM 6002 164
3:22 PM 1509 154
3:23 PM 6001 98
3:06 PM 0831 156
3:28 PM 3943 179
8:22 AM 3104 82
8:47 AM 4042 73
3:35 PM 3637 190
3:35 PM 3637 160
3:00 PM 0213 65
3:34 PM 3111 202
10:45 AM 0807 115
3:54 PM 0525 148
10:45 AM 0807 115
8:00 AM 4616 53
4:00 PM 3714 215
3:57 PM 4618 86
3:58 PM 4608 130
4:00 PM 4701 192
9:14 AM 0912 90
4:05 PM 0818 102
4:05 PM 0817 187
2:00 PM 0101 149
4:11 PM 3914 207
2:00 PM 0102 160
2:00 PM 0103 188
4:00 PM 6507 460
4:20 PM 1716 103
11:00 AM 3006 125
4:00 PM 3935 208
7:15 AM 2714 100
4:00 PM 3925 215
3:45 PM 5823 393
4:25 PM 3943 196
4:15 PM 1816 264
4:15 PM 1817 292
4:27 PM 2714 126
4:27 PM 2723 153
4:15 PM 0525 151
4:30 PM 0834 133
8:00 AM 4202 41
4:30 PM 5224 177
4:38 PM 2209 144
4:39 PM 2214 178
4:47 PM 4702 116
4:45 PM 4701 198
1:30 PM 5622 138
4:32 PM 0526 238
12:30 PM 2408 128
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 0807 115
4:56 PM 2911 133
5:00 PM 1805 249
5:00 PM 3434 151
5:00 PM 1806 233
5:00 PM 1812 237
5:00 PM 1819 203
5:10 PM 5510 206
5:00 PM 1912 171
5:11 PM 1810 259
5:12 PM 3940 144
5:12 PM 3940 144
5:15 PM 5636 122

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions